Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.015397 0.017916 0.020699 0.023997 0.027799 0.032041 0.037131
2025-12-21 0.011442 0.014638 0.018496 0.023486 0.029758 0.037371 0.047306
2025-12-28 0.009485 0.013166 0.017957 0.024630 0.033657 0.045420 0.061883
2026-01-04 0.007898 0.011782 0.017188 0.025222 0.036809 0.052865 0.076739
2026-01-11 0.006355 0.010123 0.015694 0.024472 0.037882 0.057511 0.088315
2026-01-18 0.005309 0.008973 0.014697 0.024203 0.039496 0.063003 0.101703
2026-01-25 0.004414 0.007885 0.013587 0.023531 0.040302 0.067266 0.113642
2026-02-01 0.003742 0.007037 0.012711 0.023060 0.041294 0.071843 0.126532
2026-02-08 0.003236 0.006385 0.012050 0.022826 0.042596 0.077001 0.140910
2026-02-15 0.002769 0.005720 0.011257 0.022217 0.043113 0.080813 0.153324
2026-02-22 0.002563 0.005521 0.011287 0.023120 0.046478 0.090008 0.176397
2026-03-01 0.002281 0.005120 0.010866 0.023083 0.048032 0.096020 0.194203
2026-03-08 0.001956 0.004582 0.010105 0.022284 0.048037 0.099200 0.207183
2026-03-15 0.001728 0.004216 0.009646 0.022043 0.049137 0.104641 0.225282
2026-03-22 0.001643 0.004163 0.009849 0.023246 0.053418 0.116965 0.258809
2026-03-29 0.001524 0.004006 0.009796 0.023872 0.056526 0.127205 0.289140
2026-04-05 0.001333 0.003640 0.009210 0.023193 0.056630 0.131049 0.306155
2026-04-12 0.001193 0.003380 0.008835 0.022955 0.057704 0.137117 0.328739
2026-04-19 0.001050 0.003085 0.008330 0.022323 0.057759 0.140887 0.346525
2026-04-26 0.000935 0.002845 0.007924 0.021880 0.058207 0.145594 0.366989
2026-05-03 0.000843 0.002655 0.007622 0.021659 0.059174 0.151616 0.391222
2026-05-10 0.000748 0.002436 0.007209 0.021081 0.059146 0.155220 0.409959
2026-05-17 0.000717 0.002407 0.007315 0.021941 0.063013 0.168884 0.455245